N54MG

HISTORY OF FLIGHTOn May 6, 2022, about 1210 Pacific daylight time, an experimental, amateur-built Vans RV-10, N54MG, was substantially damaged when it was involved in an accident near Sausalito, California. The pilot and passenger were fatally injured. The airplane was operated as a Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91 personal flight.

Flight track data was captured by both automatic dependent surveillance - broadcast (ADS-B) data and information downloaded from onboard avionics. Both sources were consistent for most of the flight, while the ADS-B coverage became intermittent after about 1205:10. The track data showed that the airplane departed Sacramento Executive Airport (SAC), Sacramento, California, about 1129 and transitioned into a climb on a southwesterly heading. The airplane leveled off about 5,500 ft mean sea level (msl) about 6 minutes later. The airplane turned south about 12 minutes later and subsequently entered a descent as it flew along San Pablo Bay towards San Francisco Bay. At 1151, the pilot contacted air traffic control and reported that he was descending from 4,500 ft to 2,500 ft, and advised he would be conducting the “Bay Tour” on his way to Half Moon Bay Airport (HAF). The controller acknowledged and instructed the pilot to remain north and west of the Bay Bridge, outside of the San Francisco Class B airspace (which overlaid the area starting at an altitude of 3,000 ft msl), and to advise when he had obtained the weather information at HAF. The pilot acknowledged.

At 1158, the airplane started a 360° right turn around Alcatraz Island and then resumed a southerly heading for about 1 minute before making a left turn to the north, over Treasure Island. At 1202, the airplane turned southwest after it climbed to about 2,400 ft msl and then began a descent. Two minutes later, the pilot advised the controller he would like to proceed to HAF. The controller acknowledged and instructed the pilot to remain outside of the Class B airspace. At 1205, the pilot advised, “I was gonna go to Half Moon Bay please.” The controller again acknowledged, and instructed the pilot to remain outside of the Class B. The pilot acknowledged and there were no further recorded transmissions.

Over the next five minutes, the airplane made a series of turns at various altitudes below 2,100 ft msl near the north end of the Golden Gate Bridge. In the final 40 seconds of flight, at 1209:07, the airplane began a descent while on a westerly heading from 1,332 ft msl. At 1209:28, the airplane began a right turn to a northerly heading as it continued its descent from 980 ft msl. The track ended at 1209:47, about 300 ft south of the accident site at an altitude about 821 ft msl. In the final 10 seconds of flight, the airspeed decreased from 79 knots (kts) to 63 kts. Figure 1 depicts the airplane’s flight track during the minutes before the accident.

Two witnesses were located about 0.6 nautical miles (nm) east of the accident site around the time of the accident. They both reported that visibility was low and the fog layer was thick; one witness stated that she could not see the top of the north tower of the Golden Gate Bridge. According to the Golden Gate Bridge Highway and Transportation District, the Golden Gate Bridge towers extend 746 ft above the water. The north tower of the Golden Gate Bridge was located about 0.8 nm southeast of the accident site.

Figure 1: Airplane’s route of flight

The wreckage was discovered by United States Park Rangers at 1403 on the southwest side of a hill in the Marin Headlands at an elevation of about 800 ft msl. PERSONNEL INFORMATIONThe pilot used a web-based service to maintain a record of his flight activities, which contained entries from March 16, 2016, to May 12, 2022. According to the record, the pilot flew from Sacramento, California, to HAF on five occasions before the accident. Four of these flights took place in 2021 and one flight took place three months before the accident. Listed in the “Additional Comments and Remarks” column of the first recorded flight to HAF, which occurred on January 23, 2021, included the following: “VFR flight to Half Moon Bay. Bay area traffic control. Requested and granted City Tour. Denied entry to Bravo. Flew under Bravo. Next time ask for bay transition. Communications and post flight.”

According to the pilot’s logbook, he began training for an instrument rating about one month after he received his private pilot certificate in November 2020. The pilot did not possess an instrument rating at the time of the accident. The pilot’s instructor remarked that they flew together for about 40 hours to prepare for the pilot’s instrument practical test and noted that the pilot was proficient in conducting instrument approaches in the accident airplane. According to the instructor, about one year before the accident, while flying with another student he heard the accident pilot on the radio obtaining an instrument clearance while he was flying without his regular instructor, which concerned him. Entries made on May 17, 2021, and May 19, 2021, indicated that the pilot obtained an instrument clearance without a flight instructor onboard the airplane. The entry on May 17, 2021, stated “fly IFR was in IMC for about 30 min no issue.” The pilot’s flight instructor further recalled that the pilot was a “little pushy” in the cockpit and was accustomed to being “his own boss.” METEOROLOGICAL INFORMATIONAn NTSB meteorological study was completed with supplemental photographs from the accident flight and surveillance footage from the Golden Gate Bridge to assess the environmental conditions at the time of the accident.

Accident Site Conditions

A model sounding was completed using data provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The modeling showed multiple layers of clouds over the accident site area from 200 ft above ground level (agl) with tops near 2,800 ft agl and higher broken clouds at 7,000 ft and 20,000 ft agl. Conditions indicated a high potential for the formation of radiation fog and light low level wind shear at 407 ft msl.

A cross section was created using model data and data from selected locations along the airplane’s route of flight to estimate the cloud clover during various segments of the accident flight.

Cloud Cover

A report of infrared satellite imagery for 1211 captured low stratiform clouds and/or fog with higher stratiform clouds above the accident site. The low stratiform clouds were noted from about 13 nm south of the accident site off the coast and north. (see Figure 2.)

Figure 2: GOES-17 infrared image of cloud cover along route of flight at 1211

Weather Forecasts

According to a National Weather Service Public Zone forecast for the coastal North Bay, issued at 1101, “REST OF TODAY…Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. A chance of showers late in the morning. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.”

For the San Francisco Peninsula Coast, the forecasted conditions were “Mostly cloudy. Widespread dense fog in the afternoon.”

A Graphical Forecast for Aviation (GFA) issued at 0901 and valid at 1100 depicted visibility less than 1 statute mile over the Pacific Ocean. The chart also depicted an AIRMET for IFR conditions over northwestern California and off the California coastal sections immediately bordering the accident site. A GFA cloud forecast issued at 0902 valid at 1100 showed broken to overcast clouds with bases near 300 ft and tops 4,000 ft msl with higher cirrus clouds above the accident site and clear conditions further inland. AIRMET Sierra for mountain obscuration extended over the accident site and over northern California.

There were no SIGMETs, Convective SIGMETs, or Center Weather Advisories issued for the time of the accident flight over the San Francisco area or the accident pilot’s route of flight.

Pilot Weather Research

A review of records from Leidos Flight Service and Foreflight did not reveal any evidence that the pilot obtained weather information from either source. Although the pilot possessed an account with Foreflight, he had not viewed any weather imagery within the application prior to the accident flight. He had reviewed the terminal procedures for his originating and destination airports, which would have included METARs, TAFs, and NOTAMs for those stations. It could not be determined if the pilot used another source to obtain current inflight weather advisories, GFAs or any other weather products.

Golden Gate Bridge Stillshots

A still photograph from a camera located on the bridge’s north tower facing north showed dense fog that covered the coastline and northern end of the bridge. Another image was captured by a camera located 1.7 nm southeast of the accident near the south abutment overlook at the Golden Gate Bridge Vista Point South, which faced northwest. The image depicted fog advection with an estimated visibility between ¼ to ½ sm, as the south tower of the Golden Gate Bridge and suspension cables were not clearly identifiable in the image.

Photographs Taken During Flight

The passenger took several photographs during the accident flight that were provided by a family member. An image, taken about 10 to 15 minutes before the accident, showed a low band of stratiform clouds off the right side of the airplane near the Golden Gate Bridge and the accident site. WRECKAGE AND IMPACT INFORMATIONThe airplane came to rest in a nose-down attitude on an easterly heading. All major structural components of the airplane were accounted for at the accident site. The first point of impact was marked by a depression about 15 ft southwest of the main wreckage. A debris path comprised of engine cowling and plexiglass fragments extended to the main wreckage.

Elevator and rudder flight control continuity was traced from the cockpit to the respective flight control surfaces and from the cockpit to both the right and left ailerons.

Mechanical continuity was established throughout the rotating gro...